What to Do When You're Sure You're Right and Everyone Else Disagrees
Before doubling down, actively try to disprove yourself — conviction that survives challenge is worth having.
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Thinking
Critical thinking, cognitive biases, decision-making, and learning to see clearly. The operating system behind everything else.
137 advices
What to Do When Someone Presents "Facts" That Feel Off
Most dubious claims crumble under three honest questions — and if they hold up, update your view.
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What to Do When Your Gut Says One Thing and the Data Says Another
If your intuition comes from domain experience, listen to it; if it comes from discomfort, trust the data.
9
What to Do When You Keep Going in Circles on the Same Problem
Circular thinking means a missing piece, not insufficient effort — write down your assumptions and find the wrong one.
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What to Do When Unexpected Success Comes Your Way
Honestly assess how much was skill, timing, and luck — accurate calibration beats false confidence.
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What to Do When You're Asked to Decide Under Pressure
Artificial urgency is a manipulation tactic — legitimate opportunities allow time for thought.
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Replace "I Think" with "I Currently Believe Because..."
Stating your reasoning out loud keeps your mind open to changing it.
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No Plan Survives Contact with Reality — But Planning Still Matters
The value of planning is the preparation to adapt, not the plan itself.
13
If the Problem Keeps Returning, It's Probably a System
Recurring problems are structural symptoms — redesign the system, don't just fix the instance.
10
"If We Allow This, Everything Will Collapse" Is Rarely True
One change rarely triggers an unstoppable chain reaction — each step has its own decision point.
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Attack the Argument, Not the Person Making It
Judge the argument on its own merits, regardless of who delivers it.
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Know When to Decide Fast and When to Decide Slow
Move fast on decisions you can undo and slow down on decisions you cannot.
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Follow the Incentives and You'll Predict the Behavior
To understand behavior, look at incentives, not stated values — people respond to what they are rewarded for.
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Before Removing a Rule, Understand Why It Was Created
Understand a rule's purpose before you decide it's unnecessary.
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Subtraction Often Works Better Than Addition
Removing what doesn't work often beats adding something new.
11
Ask "Why" Five Times and You'll Find the Real Problem
The first answer is usually a symptom — the root cause hides deeper.
7
Don't Trust Advice from People Who Have No Skin in the Game
Weigh advice by how much the advisor stands to lose if they're wrong.
11
Feedback Loops Explain More of Life Than You Think
What looks like a fixed trait is often a loop you can interrupt.
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