Behind Extreme Outcomes Usually Lies a Return to the Mean
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howtolive.guide
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Regression to the mean: an exceptional performance — good or bad — is often followed by a more ordinary one. The rookie who has a spectacular first season usually has a decent but less dazzling second. The quarter when everything went wrong is rarely followed by another disaster. Don't overreact to outliers; they tend to correct themselves. Save your analysis for patterns, not spikes.
The point
Exceptional results — good or bad — tend to be followed by ordinary ones.
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