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Thinking

Critical thinking, cognitive biases, decision-making, and learning to see clearly. The operating system behind everything else.

138 advices
Thinking

It Got Better After the Treatment — That Alone Proves Nothing

An illness that ends on its own makes almost any remedy look effective; recovery, regression to the mean and placebo feel identical from the inside, and only a control group tells them apart.

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Thinking

You Have Less Control Over the Outcome Than It Feels Like

You feel like effort and attention control outcomes that are actually already decided — spend your energy only on the part you can influence.

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Thinking

You Credit Your Wins to Skill and Your Losses to Bad Luck

You explain your wins by skill and your losses by bad luck — and judge everyone else in reverse. Notice it before it becomes self-deception.

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Thinking

Don't Assume People Get What They Deserve

Believing the world is fair feels safe, but it quietly blames people for misfortunes that were never their fault.

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Thinking

What to Do When Someone Says "Prove Me Wrong"

"Prove me wrong" quietly shifts the burden of proof to you. The person making the claim owes the evidence, not you.

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Thinking

What Works for One Person Doesn't Always Work for Everyone

Some strategies only work because most people aren't using them — ask which kind you're relying on before you build a plan around it.

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Thinking

Before You Believe a Surprising Claim, Check Who Benefits

Funding shapes which questions get studied and published, without anyone lying. Check who benefits before you repeat a surprising claim.

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Thinking

Check the Sample Size Before You Trust a Study's Headline

A dramatic percentage means little without the sample size behind it. Look for the numbers the headline hides before you trust — or share — the claim.

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Thinking

Weigh Your Pros and Cons, Don't Just Count Them

Counting pros and cons treats every item as equal. Weigh them by importance instead, and cross out matched pairs until only the heaviest ones remain.

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Thinking

Look Where the Answer Might Be, Not Just Where It's Easy to Look

Convenient information isn't the same as useful information. Name the inconvenient source you're avoiding, and check it first.

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Thinking

What to Do When You See a Scary Statistic

A relative statistic without its baseline is built to alarm you. Ask what it doubled from before deciding how worried to be.

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Thinking

Write Down a Second Explanation Before You Accept the First

Your first explanation feels complete, but it's rarely the only one. Write down a second plausible explanation before you act on the first.

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Thinking

You Judge Experiences by Their Peak and Their Ending, Not the Average

Memory doesn't average an experience — it remembers the peak and the ending. That's why endings deserve extra care.

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Thinking

What to Do When You Made a Bad Decision

A bad decision becomes a disaster only when you refuse to adapt after it.

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Thinking

What to Do When You Have Two Equally Good Options

When two options feel equal, the cost of indecision exceeds the difference between them.

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Thinking

What to Do When You're Drowning in Information

Information you do not need is noise, and noise degrades your thinking.

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Thinking

What to Do When You Hit a Dead End

Step away, let your background mind work, then question whether the constraint is real.

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Thinking

What to Do When You're Being Harshly Criticized

Separate the valid feedback from the tone — reject the rudeness, keep the useful part.

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