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Thinking

Critical thinking, cognitive biases, decision-making, and learning to see clearly. The operating system behind everything else.

137 advices
Thinking

Beware the Peak of False Confidence

If you feel like an expert after a short time learning something, you are probably at the peak of false confidence.

10
Thinking

Don't Let the First Number Set the Frame

The first number you hear shapes every number after it — set your own reference point before someone else does.

11
Thinking

Not Everything Is a Story

Your brain turns random events into neat stories — be suspicious of explanations that feel too clean.

12
Thinking

Agreement Is Not Always a Good Sign

When everyone agrees too easily, it might mean nobody feels safe disagreeing — not that the idea is good.

21
Thinking

Your News Feed Is Not the World

Your feed is optimized for engagement, not accuracy — consume news deliberately, not passively.

12
Thinking

Assume Carelessness Before Malice

Before assuming someone meant to hurt you, consider that they might simply not have been thinking.

12
Thinking

The Simplest Explanation Is Usually Right

Start with the explanation that requires the fewest assumptions — complexity should be a last resort.

8
Thinking

You Only See the Winners

Success stories hide the failures — always ask how many people tried the same thing and did not make it.

18
Thinking

Vivid Is Not the Same as Likely

Just because something is easy to remember does not mean it is likely to happen — check the actual odds.

13
Thinking

Most \"Either/Or\" Choices Have a Third Option

When you feel forced to choose between two options, look for the third one your framing is hiding.

8
Thinking

Happening Together Does Not Mean One Caused the Other

Two things happening together does not prove one causes the other — always look for hidden third factors.

6