Strong Feelings Make Weak Evidence Feel Strong
High emotion lowers your evidence threshold — when certainty feels strongest, scrutiny matters most.
You can't change what you don't see. Self-awareness is the unglamorous skill of noticing your own patterns — what triggers you, what drains you, which stories you tell yourself. The advice here helps you observe yourself honestly without drowning in self-analysis.
High emotion lowers your evidence threshold — when certainty feels strongest, scrutiny matters most.
Goodhart's Law: people optimise the number, not the thing the number stood for — pair every metric with a guardrail and treat it as a thermometer, not a steering wheel.
Recency bias makes the latest event dominate your thinking — older data is often more representative.
Natural is a description of origin, not a certificate of quality.
The false consensus effect makes you overestimate how many people share your views — ask instead of assuming.
The curse of knowledge makes experts forget what confusion feels like — always start from the listener's level.
Repetition makes claims feel true — but familiarity is not evidence.
The endowment effect makes you overvalue what you own — ownership is not the same as worth.
Normalcy bias makes stability feel permanent — prepare for disruption while things are still calm.
Authority bias makes us trust titles over reasoning — evaluate the argument, not the resume.
Zero-sum thinking limits you — in many situations, both sides can win if you look for it.
The framing effect makes identical information feel different — notice who is framing the question and how.
Hindsight bias rewrites your memory — you didn't predict it, you just remember it that way.
The spotlight effect makes you think everyone noticed — they almost certainly didn't.
Two things happening together does not prove one causes the other — always look for hidden third factors.
Negativity bias makes one bad thing outweigh many good ones — correct for it deliberately.
The halo effect makes us assume that likeable people are also right — separate charm from competence.
A single vivid story is not enough to establish a pattern — don't generalize from one case.