"I Knew It All Along" Is Almost Always a Lie

After you learn how something turned out, your brain quietly rewrites its memory to make you feel like you predicted it. This is hindsight bias, and it's nearly universal. The danger isn't just false confidence — it's that you stop learning from surprises. If you "knew it all along," there's nothing to update. Keep a decision journal. When you see how often your actual predictions were wrong, the humility comes naturally.